> [!tldr] Summary of [[Same as Ever]] - Life and everything is hanging by a thread, always has been. Things could have so easily gone differently than they are today. If the wind had been in a different direction during one particular fight in the revolutionary war, the British ships would have sailed up a river and finished off Washington's army. **Different direction of the wind one day and there's no America.** - There's always unforseen risks. No matter what you imagine, something else can happen that tanks everything. Even things that will later seem obvious are actually essentially impossible to predict. [[Obvious things are only obvious to people they are obvious to]]. - [[Expectations & Happiness|Happiness is about your reality vs your expectations.]] Figure out how to stop expecting more and you'll be constantly amazed by what you have. - The traits that make some people **geniuses** also make those same people intolerable to be around (or have other moral flaws). If you think differently in helpful ways, you also think differently in unhelpful ways. - [[Best Story Wins]]. People respond to stories, not data. - People are essentially irrational. - **Boom and bust cycles** are inevitable in many forms. Calm plants the seeds for crazy. - People buy Gamestop stock becuase people want Gamestop stock. Because people want Gamestop stock. Gamestock prices go up. Because Gamestop's prices are going up, people are seeing success. More people want to buy the stock. At some point, someone says "...I don't believe this is worth this much. I won't buy this." That sentiment catches fire. Nobody wants it. The stock tanks. - Extreme times call for extreme circumstances, which can lead to extreme growth and innovation. - [[Valley of Disappointment|overnight success]]es are actually the results of slow constant growth. - [[Good things take time, bad things tend to happen all at once.]] - [[Perfection is Dangerous]]. Some inefficiency and [[Overhead]] is always going to be there. Everything is a [[Tradespace|trade off]]. - People respond to [[Incentives]]. - [[Be Optimistic in the Long Run, Pessimistic in the Short Run]]. - People who look massively successful and happy are stressed and anxious and not content. - The future is unpredictable. - [[Simplicity]] is where it's at. People love to be impressed with complexity. It makes you seem like you know what you're talking about "oh such a complex answer", but the [[Mastery is Knowing What You Actually Need|master who says you don't need it]] is looked at like they don't know any better. - [[What have you experienced in your life that I haven't that causes you to believe something different from me?]] - The [[Pareto Principle]] is a thing (although he didn't use these words even once, which surprised me). - [[Most fields have a few core principles that essentially govern them]]. There's an infinitely deep well of details, but really an [[The Index Cards|index card]] could cover most of what you need. e.g. [[Index Card - Health]], which I wrote but he more or less also synthesized. - [[Good things come to those who sweat]]. Hard work is the always going to be hard and always going to be necessary. - → can't remember where I read this: "Everyone wanna be a weightlifter, but don't nobody wanna lift no heavy-ass weights" **** # More ## Source - [[Same as Ever]]